Latest Quarterly Snapshot

In 4Q24, Houston's office market remained stable despite ongoing challenges, posting a 19.3% vacancy rate - the second highest in the nation. Leasing activity remained strong, particularly for high-end office spaces, surpassing pre-pandemic levels. However, annual net absorption stood at -1.3 million SF, reflecting continued downsizing, especially in older buildings. Investment activity remained subdued due to high borrowing costs, though potential rate cuts could help stimulate the market. At the same time, redevelopment gained traction, with 3.7 million SF of office space slated for conversion in 2025. Looking ahead, Houston's strengthening economy and an improved GDP outlook could drive office demand in the coming quarters.

In 3Q24, Houston's urban land market remained constrained with limited transaction volume. The scarcity of desirable urban infill land combined with high prices and elevated interest rates discouraged potential buyers. This environment allowed well-capitalized investors to close deals on premium urban parcels, while suburban areas saw more viable development, particularly for industrial and single-family projects. Notable transactions in town included purchases for industrial and mixed-use projects on the northwest side and the Uptown area, where prices per foot vary widely based on location, ranging from $200-300 per SF for prime plots within urban zones.

Houstona€™s retail market continued to perform strongly in 3Q24 within the city's commercial real estate landscape, fueled by ongoing population and job growth. Quarterly net deliveries have outpaced demand in five of the last six quarters, indicating a persistent supply-demand imbalance. While vacancy rates have slightly increased by 0.3% in the past few quarters, they remain relatively low overall at 5.1%. Additionally, retailers are still seeking space, although the pace of demand has slowed compared to 2023. This trend should continue in the coming quarter and into 2025.